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News Science Communication Uncategorized

Science event brings the laboratory out into the public

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Michelle Stocker, Assistant Professor Geosciences and GCC Faculty affiliate, along with graduate students from her lab, will lead the next Science on Tap event to be held on Thursday, Nov. 1; 5:30 – 7:00 pm at Rising Silo Brewery at 2351 Glade Road in Blacksburg. The topic will be fossil-themed, more details forthcoming on the Science on Tap Facebook page.

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BLACKSBURG — A few beers, some trivia and a short science talk are brewing a strong connection between local researchers and the general public in the New River Valley.

 

Science on Tap is a monthly event that brings research, mostly from Virginia Tech, to the public in an effort to discuss cutting-edge research over trendy ales at Rising Silo Brewery for most of the year, and Rivermill Bar and Grill during the colder winter months. The event is put on by the Center for Communicating Science at Virginia Tech.

 

In the past, it’s featured a wide variety of speakers ranging from the Flint Water Study researchers, to a head gear lab test researcher to the local author of a book about animal farts.

 

The September event, Thursday, featured the work of Tech professor and animal behaviorist Erica Feuerbacher. She and her dog Iorek demonstrated some of the ways people can train their pooches for an audience of about 60 people.

 

Learning about science in an accessible way is the top goal of the event, said Carrie Kroehler, associate director of Virginia Tech’s Center for Communicating Science. Another goal is to make sure people are getting reliable information.

 

According to a National Science Board Survey, 55 percent of people who are learning about science glean their scientific study through surfing the web. That information isn’t always reliable, Kroehler said.

 

At Science on Tap, scientists who have reliable scientific information can dispense it to actual people encouraging actual discourse, Kroehler said. “This provides an opportunity to do real communicating with real people,” Kroehler said.

 

But just because the general public is welcome, that doesn’t mean it isn’t good for the science-minded in the Virginia Tech community, too. The event regularly attracts a core group of graduate students and young researchers who get together for science-based community building, Kroehler said.

 

The event was kickstarted by Katie Burke, a digital features editor for American Scientist magazine and advisory board member for Tech’s science communications center.

 

Burke moved to the New River Valley in 2015 before starting the event in the spring of 2017. She had attended a similar type of science on tap event in the Raleigh, North Carolina, area where she lived previously.

 

“I was just looking for something to tap into,” Burke said. “I was surprised there wasn’t anything like this.”

 

Finding that there wasn’t a science on tap event in the area, she said she got in touch with Kroehler and Patty Raun, director of the Center for Communicating Science at Virginia Tech. The pair was instantly supportive of the idea, Burke said.

 

The first Science on Tap was in April 2017 and featured the research of fish and wildlife conservation professor Bill Hopkins, who studies the amphibious eastern hellbender.

 

The event has grown over time, Burke said. They’ve had more than 100 at some of the talks, though an average crowd is closer to 40 or 50.

 

“We’ve always had huge turnouts,” Burke said, “and always an engaged audience.”

 

That’s often because of speakers picked and vetted by Burke.

 

She said she’ll check to make sure that researchers have given similar talks in the past and any graduate students who participate must complete the Center for Communicating Science’s curriculum on presentation.

 

The presenting scientists are given a pint glass styled like a beaker, which Feuerbacher received full of beer Thursday evening.

 

For those in attendance, the event delivers important exposure to scientific research. Allison Hutchison, a graduate student in Tech’s English department, attended the event with her husband and dog Boris, who was given some lessons on canine behavior.

 

She brought students from a science writing course she taught last semester to a Science on Tap event. For the general public, combining beer with learning will lead to good times, she said.“

 

This is an event people need to open their Thursdays up to,” Hutchison said. “Science can be fun.”

 

October’s event is not yet scheduled because the fourth Thursday features a nationally televised football game between Virginia Tech and Georgia Tech in Blacksburg.

 

To learn more about the October Science on Tap event, stay tuned to the group’s Facebook page, Science on Tap – New River Valley.

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Categories
Evolution New Courses Uncategorized Undergraduate Experiential Learning

New Undergraduate Study Abroad Course Announcement: Darwin’s Galapagos

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New Course Announcement:

Darwin’s Galapagos: Evolution in the Anthropocene is a new course that will be offered by Drs. Ignacio Moore, William Hopkins and Peter Graham in Spring 2019.

Department of Biology/Fish and Wildlife Conservation
Course Number:
3954
Course Title: Darwin’s Galapagos: Evolution in the Anthropocene
Credits: 4
Semester:
Spring 2019
Time: TBD

Co-taught by professors in 3 departments:

Ignacio Moore, Biological Sciences
William Hopkins, Fish and Wildlife Conservation
Peter Graham, English[/vc_column_text][/vc_column][/vc_row][vc_row][vc_column width=”1/2″][vc_column_text]Course Description:

Voyage in Charles Darwin’s wake in the Galapagos Islands and see firsthand what inspired the unifying concept of life on earth: evolution by natural selection.  Gain historical and on-the spot perspectives on how Darwin’s big idea took shape, and learn how current evolutionary processes are influenced by rapid environmental changes caused by human pressures such as introduced species, over-fishing, pollution, climate change, and ecotourism.

The course is open to all majors and is reading-, writing-, and discussion-intensive.  Students will have extensive readings each week followed by in class discussion and reflective essays.  10-day trip to the Galapagos will occur over spring break.  Students enrolling in the course should be good swimmers and not be prone to sea sickness.[/vc_column_text][/vc_column][vc_column width=”1/2″][vc_single_image image=”25459″ img_size=”large” add_caption=”yes” alignment=”right” onclick=”custom_link” link=”http://www.globalchange.vt.edu/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/Galapagos-2019-Flyer_web.pdf”][/vc_column][/vc_row][vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]

To Apply – Contact one of the professors: itmoore@vt.eduhopkinsw@vt.edu; pegraham@vt.edu

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Biweekly Update – September 17, 2018

New Announcements:

1. Virginia Farm to School Fall 2018 Newsletter

2. Registration for 2018 Arlington / Alexandria Urban Agriculture Symposium is OPEN, Arlington, VA – October, 5, 2018

  • To REGISTER or see the full schedule, click HERE

3. 42nd Annual Fall Forestry and Wildlife Field Tours 2018 (aka the Bus Tours)

4. Lewis Ginter PlantFest POSTPONED – Richmond, VA – September 28-29, 2018

5. FREE Gardening Workshops, Speakers, and Giveaways at Belle Grove – Middletown, VA – September 16, 2018

6. Turfgrass Tuesday Webinar on Bluebird Habitat – September 25, 2018

  • The Sept. 2018 VCE/VT Turfgrass Tuesday webinar features VA Master Naturalist and VA Bluebird Society member Sandy Weber discussing how turfgrass habitats can be utilized to promote cavity-nesting birds, with a focus on bluebirds. As always, it’s a FREE event and it takes place from 10-11 a.m. EDT on Tuesday, Sept 25.

7. Composting – What to do with all those leaves? – Monday, September 24, 2018—Arlington / Alexandria area.

September Announcements:

8. Saturdays in the Garden Series – Fauquier County – September 22

9. Home Horticulture Education – Eggleston Garden Center, Norfolk, VA – September 8th to October 13th

10. 12th Annual Heritage Harvest Festival at Monticello – Charlottesville, VA – September 22, 2018

11. VMGA 2018 Educational Event – Appomattox, VA – September 29, 2018

12. Arlington / Alexandria Events – September

October Announcements:

13. Central Shenandoah Valley Garden Symposium: “Going Native” – Weyers Cave, VA – October 27, 2018

Janurary Announcements:

14. Save the Date: VAFHP 2010 Annual Conference – Blacksburg, VA – January 28-29, 2019

February Announcements:

15. Save the Date: Spring to Green – Danville, VA – February 2, 2019

Other Announcements:

16. Follow the State Office on social media:

17. Recorded Webinars: Recorded EMG Coordinator webinars hosted by the National Extension Master Gardener Coordinators Committee

18. Whether you attended the 2018 Master Gardener College or not, you should still check out the Brag Boards that were submitted! Click HERE to view the video of all of them! Make sure to send in a brag board next year to brag about your unit!

19. National EMG Coordinator’s Webinar Recordings

Categories
Uncategorized

Biweekly Update – August 29, 2018

New Announcements:

  1. VCE Master Gardener Program 2018 Webinar Series – Scott Douglas, Director of the Hahn Horticulture Garden – September 13, 2018
    1. 10:00 AM on Thursday, September 13, click this link to join around 9:45 AM: https://virginiatech.zoom.us/j/990522700
    2. The (Large) Space Between: Reimagining Highway Corridors as Performative Landscapes—Join Scott as he discusses alternative plantings along highway corridors and what might be possible!  Visit here for a complete description:  http://blogs.lt.vt.edu/mastergardener/current-master-gardeners/sample-page/webinar-series/
  2. National EMG Coordinator’s Webinar Recordings
    1. The August recorded webinar is posted at this link: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nSjx5bGR3Mw
    2. Webinar PPTs, handouts and other materials may be found at this link: http://create.extension.org/EMGCoordinators-OnlineDiscussions
  3. Save the Date: VAFHP 2010 Annual Conference – Blacksburg, VA – January 28-29, 2019
  4. Due to a change in our webinar service provider, recordings of past EMG State Office webinars are temporarily unavailable. We expect to restore webinar recordings sometime this Fall. When webinars are again available, we will send out an announcement via the biweekly update. Thank you for your patience during this time.
  5. 12th Annual Heritage Harvest Festival at Monticello – Charlottesville, VA – September 22, 2018
  6. VMGA 2018 Educational Event – Appomattox, VA – September 29, 2018
  7. Save the Date: Spring to Green – Danville, VA – February 2, 2019
  8. Arlington / Alexandria Events – September

September Announcements:

  1. Landscape Professional Training Opportunities – Storm water Landscapes, Central Virginia – September 12, 2018
  2. VMGA Education Day 2018: “Bats, Birds and Bugs: Gardening on the Wilder Side” – Appomattox, VA – September 29, 2018 – Holiday Lake 4-H Center, Speakers on entomology, bats, wildflowers, water resources, and what’s happening in your backyard that you might not be aware of! (Registration Deadline – September 11, 2018)
    1. Cost $40 VMGA members; $50 for others. Lunch included in fee.
    2. Flyers went out to all VMGA members; contact your VMGA representative.
  3. Saturdays in the Garden Series – Fauquier County – September 22
  4. VBMG Fall Gardening Festival – Saturday, Sept. 15, 2018 – HRAREC, 1444 Diamond Springs Rd. – Virginia Beach, VA
  5. Home Horticulture Education – Eggleston Garden Center, Norfolk, VA – September 8th to October 13th
  6. Go Green Expo – 10 Year Anniversary of Hampton Roads Green Education Event – Newport News MGs – Saturday, September 9, 2018
  • Saturday, September 8
  • Newport News MGs Go Green Expo
  • 10 Year Anniversary of Hampton Roads Green Education Event
  • Free and Open to the Public
  • For More Information: nngogreenexpo.org
  • Brittingham-Midtown Community Center
  • 570 McLawhorne Dr.,
  • Newport News, Va. 23601

October Announcements:

  1. Central Shenandoah Valley Garden Symposium: “Going Native” – Weyers Cave, VA – October 27, 2018
    1. More info: https://csvmga.org/event/central-shenandoah-valley-garden-symposium-going-native/

Other Announcements:

  1. Follow the State Office on social media:
  1. #LocalFoodMatter PHOTO CONTEST – photos must be submitted between June 1st and November 2nd, 2018
  2. Recorded Webinars: Recorded EMG Coordinator webinars hosted by the National Extension Master Gardener Coordinators Committee
    1. 2018 Recorded Webinars
    2. Webinar PPts, handouts and other materials
  3. Spark page from Colorado: Check out these resources from the Colorado Master Gardener program, discussing staffing booths at public events!
  4. Whether you attended the 2018 Master Gardener College or not, you should still check out the Brag Boards that were submitted! Click HERE to view the video of all of them! Make sure to send in a brag board next year to brag about your unit!

 

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Uncategorized

Lab Sustainability Seminar with Ellen Garcia: August 23 @ 1:00pm

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]The Fralin Life Science Institute will host a seminar on lab sustainability led by graduate student, Ellen Garcia. Faculty, graduate students, staff, lab managers and campus sustainability advocates are encouraged to attend!

Thursday, August 23rd

1:00 pm
Fralin Boardroom

please email krisrose@vt.edu if you plan to attend!

Ellen, a graduate student in the Cimini lab within the Biocomplexity Institute, will speak about her efforts to introduce sustainable practices and processes to the lab environments at Virginia Tech, as well as her experience initiating the first certified “Green Lab” on campus![/vc_column_text][/vc_column][/vc_row][vc_row][vc_column][vc_single_image image=”24554″ img_size=”large” alignment=”center” style=”vc_box_border” border_color=”green”][vc_cta h2=”” h4=”Read more about Ellen Garcia in the March 2018 VT News feature:”]

Leading the green charge: Ph.D. student Ellen Garcia introduces lab sustainability program to campus

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Categories
News Pollution Uncategorized Water

Ocean plastic predicted to triple within a decade

From CNN

Categories
Interfaces of Global Change IGEP Science Communication Student Spotlight Uncategorized

Reflections from the GCC Graduate Seminar Course

Views from the Graduate Seminar

By Rachel Brooks, GCC Fellow & PhD Student

As the Global Change program develops, so do the required courses for the PhD-students and Fellows. This year we added a new “advanced” seminar session that is student lead and designed. After a few introductory seminars lead by Jeff Walters and Bruce Hull, we (the students) spent time brainstorming and planning the rest of the semester. With the help of numerous sticky notes and a few whiteboard markers, our seminar agenda emerged: practicing science communication, increasing diversity in our programs, building interdisciplinary teams, and learning about career options. One of our ideas was to practice communication skills by blogging about the seminar: hence this post!

GCC Fellows brainstorm topics for the Advanced Seminar Course.

To start our semester off, we attended a local political meeting to get a firsthand look at how citizens communicate with policy makers. So, on February 22, we found ourselves at the New River Valley Indivisible’s Town Hall Meeting for Morgan Griffith (Virginia’s 9th District Congressman).

A few things made this meeting a little unique: (1) Mr. Griffith did not attend, so we were unable to hear any of his responses to any questions and (2) the meeting, which was advertised as being nonpartisan, felt more like a rally then we expected. But by the end, we all gained appreciation of those able to communicate respectfully and clearly to others. During the next seminar meeting we discussed how citizens voiced their concerns. We all agreed that individuals who asked for a specific change (ex: to provide healthcare or for gun control laws) had their voice heard with the most clarity. That is a lesson we’ve also heard in some of the communication workshops organized by the GCC—your message should have “an ask.”

We also spend time in seminar practicing our communication skills. This included stating our research goals while stressing different values (such as equality and fairness, care and protection, loyalty and patriotism, respect for authority, and purity and sanctity) as discussed in this TedTalk.

We look forward to continuing to share our experiences and discussions from this seminar with the rest of the community!

Students from the Advanced Seminar course attend a local Town Hall meeting for an on the ground perspective.

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Categories
Uncategorized

Crowdfunding project aims to send a Hokie to Capitol Hill

From VT News

The BP oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico. Human health disparities in Appalachia. The Dan River coal ash spill in North Carolina. The water crisis in Flint, Michigan. Air pollution in urban industrialized areas around the world.

The list goes on.

Now more than ever, U.S. laws designed to protect and improve public health and the environment, such as the Clean Water Act, the Safe Drinking Water Act, and the Clean Air Act, require federal support and adequate revision.

With drought, pollution, rising temperatures, wildfires, increased severity and frequency of storms, invasive species, and emerging diseases, lawmakers need access to the most up-to-date, accurate scientific information to make informed decisions when revising and enforcing public policies. In other words, they need scientists.

To address this need, the Global Change Center at Virginia Tech created a summer fellowship program to send undergraduate science and engineering students to the nation’s capital to learn firsthand how science shapes policy.

“Science plays a prominent role in the policy deliberation process, but we need young scientists and engineers to pursue careers involving decision-making at all levels of government,” said Bill Hopkins, a professor of fish and wildlife conservation in the College of Natural Resources and Environment and director of the Global Change Center.

Now, the center’s goal is to send at least two students to Washington, D.C. next summer, which is why it recently launched a 30-day fundraising campaign that will be matched dollar per dollar by the center. During the program, students will earn six academic credits while spending 11 weeks fully immersed in challenging science policy issues that shape communities locally and nationally within agencies, such as the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, U.S. Department of Agriculture, The Nature Conservancy, American Red Cross, USAID, and the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency.

“With assets in the National Capital Region, Virginia Tech is uniquely positioned to nurture the important relationship between science and society, so by placing Hokies on the Hill, we can positively influence public policies that will improve quality of life and preserve the environment long into the future,” Hopkins said.

The Undergraduate Science Policy Fellowship Program, now in its third year, is designed to expose students to the role scientific knowledge plays in policy decisions on issues from human rights and health to water quality and endangered species. It is also designed to expose future scientists to the realities of policymaking, which is based on societal norms and values, economics, and politics in addition to scientific and technical knowledge.

Washington Semester 2016 interns met with Virginia Congressman Don Beyer, 8th District.

So far, four Virginia Tech students have been awarded fellowships. Kallie Peurifoy of Charleston, South Carolina, and Steven Hall of St. Paul, Virginia, were the two 2017 award recipients.

Peurifoy, a senior majoring in environmental science in the College of Agriculture and Life Sciences, interned at the U.S. EPA’s Enforcement Targeting and Data Division in the Office of Enforcement and Compliance Assurance. While there, she was introduced to environmental policies and legal terminology. In turn, she introduced policymakers to the “science side of things,” she said.

In the process, she reviewed water facilities that emitted certain contaminants and then located public systems with emissions above permissible legal thresholds. She was then able to inform local government authorities and the public about their water quality.

“I plan to apply to graduate school to pursue a career in environmental engineering focused on renewable energy and climate,” said Peurifoy, who is also a member of the Virginia Tech women’s soccer team. “I hope to one day return to the federal government in a position that allows me to protect the Earth and to serve the American people.”

“In Washington, D.C., itself, you’re surrounded by so much government and policy you start to build a connection, a link,” said Steven Hall, a junior majoring in mechanical engineering in the College of Engineering, who said this experience opened his eyes since hailing from a small Appalachian town. “A lot of people feel a disconnect from big government, especially now with politics. But from being there I’ve learned how much of an impact I can make through my career and how I can become a change-agent for society,” said Hall, who interned with the EPA’s Office of Enforcement and Compliance Assurance.

Fellowship recipients participate in the science policy track of the Washington Semester program, administered by the School of Public and International Affairs at Virginia Tech.

One fellowship ($7,000) fully funds tuition, living expenses, transit, and a stipend.

The fundraising campaign will run through Nov. 1. Supporters can send a #Hokie2Washington by donating at the project’s page and spreading the word through Facebook and Twitter.

The application deadline for Summer 2018 is Dec. 10, 2017.

Related links:Fellowship gives undergraduate students science policy experience thanks to partnership: https://vtnews.vt.edu/articles/2016/10/101816-fralin-dcscholars.html

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Written by Cassandra Hockman

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Deep cuts for research funding at flagship Midwestern universities will further weaken local economies

From The Atlantic

Four floors above a dull cinder-block lobby in a nondescript building at the Ohio State University, the doors of a slow-moving elevator open on an unexpectedly futuristic 10,000-square-foot laboratory bristling with technology. It’s a reveal reminiscent of a James Bond movie. In fact, the researchers who run this year-old, $750,000 lab at OSU’s Spine Research Institute resort often to Hollywood comparisons.

Thin beams of blue light shoot from 36 of the same kind of infrared motion cameras used to create lifelike characters for films like Avatar. In this case, the researchers are studying the movements of a volunteer fitted with sensors that track his skeleton and muscles as he bends and lifts. Among other things, they say, their work could lead to the kind of robotic exoskeletons imagined in the movie Aliens.

The cutting-edge research here combines the expertise of the university’s medical and engineering faculties to study something decidedly commonplace: back pain, which affects as many as eight out of every 10 Americans, accounts for more than 100 million annual lost workdays in the United States alone, and has accelerated the opioid addiction crisis.

“The growth of the technology around us has become so familiar that we don’t question where it comes from,” says Bruce McPheron, an entomologist and the university’s executive vice president and provost, looking on. “And where it happens consistently is at a university.”

But university research is in trouble, and so is an economy more dependent on it than many people understand. Federal funding for basic research—more than half of it conducted on university campuses like this one—has effectively declined since 2008, failing to keep pace with inflation. This is before taking into account Trump administration proposals to slash the National Science Foundation (NSF) and National Institutes of Health (NIH) budgets by billions of dollars more.

Trump’s cuts would affect all research universities, but not equally. The problem is more pronounced at public universities than private ones, and especially at public institutions in the Midwest, which have historically conducted some of the nation’s most important research. These schools are desperately needed to diversify economies that rely disproportionately on manufacturing and agriculture and lack the wealthy private institutions that fuel the knowledge industries found in Silicon Valley or along Boston’s 128/I-95 corridor. Yet many flagship Midwestern research universities are being weakened by deep state budget cuts. Threats to pensions (in Illinois) and tenure (in Wisconsin) portend an exodus of faculty and their all-important research funding, and have already resulted in a frenzy of poaching by better-funded and higher-paying private institutions, industry, and international competitors.

While private institutions are better shielded from funding cuts by huge endowments, Midwestern public universities have much thinner buffers. The endowments of the universities of Iowa, Wisconsin, and Illinois and Ohio State, which together enroll nearly 190,000 students, add up to about $11 billion—less than a third of Harvard’s $37.6 billion. Together, Harvard, MIT, and Stanford, which enroll about 50,000 students combined, have more than $73 billion in the bank to help during lean times. They also have robust revenues from high tuitions, wealthy alumni donors, strong credit, and other support to fall back on. Compare that to the public university system in Illinois, which has cut its higher-education budget so deeply that Moody’s downgraded seven universities, including five to junk-bond status.

This ominous reality could widen regional inequality, as brainpower, talent, and jobs leave the Midwest and the Rust Belt—where existing economic decline may have contributed to the decisive shift of voters toward Donald Trump—for places with well-endowed private and better-funded public universities. Already, some Midwestern universities have had to spend millions from their battered budgets to hang on to research faculty being lured away by wealthier schools. A handful of faculty have already left, taking with them most if not all of their outside funding.

Read the full article here.

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Uncategorized

More rain, more pollution in the future

A comment on this article from Dr. Cayelan Carey:

“This study highlights the importance of studying both land use and climate change simultaneously when predicting future water quality: these two stressors will interact, potentially synergistically, to increase phytoplankton blooms that threaten human health and freshwater ecosystem services. One other take-home message that is important to keep in mind is that there will be large geographic variation in lake and reservoir water quality responses to altered climate and land use.”

Our research team in the Global Change Center at Virginia Tech is leading a new project supported by the National Science Foundation that examines how best to prepare local drinking water reservoirs in southwestern Virginia for these challenges.”

From National Geographic

Researchers anticipate harmful nitrogen outputs to increase as a result of precipitation changes.

If climate change continues to progress, increased precipitation could mean detrimental outcomes for water quality in the United States, a major new study warns.

An intensifying water cycle can substantially overload waterways with excess nitrogen runoff—which could near 20 percent by 2100—and increase the likelihood of events that severely impair water quality, according to a new study published by Science.

When rainfall washes nitrogen and phosphorus from human activities like agriculture and fossil fuel combustion into rivers and lakes, those waterways are overloaded with nutrients, and a phenomenon called “eutrophication” occurs.

This can be dangerous for both people and animals. Toxic algal blooms can develop, as well as harmful low-oxygen dead zones known as hypoxia, which can cause negative impacts on human health, aquatic ecosystems, and the economy. Notable dead zones include those in the Gulf of Mexico, the Chesapeake Bay, and around Florida.

In the new study, researchers predict how climate change might increase eutrophication and threats to water resources by using projections from 21 different climate models, each of which was run for three climate scenarios and two different time periods (near future, 2031-2060, and far-future, 2071-2100).

Previous models have consistently estimated that nitrogen loading will increase under all three scenarios and for both time periods. But under a far-future “business-as-usual” scenario, meaning a situation in which current warming rates continue into the future, the projected increase in nitrogen loading within the continental United States is highest.

Under these conditions, the study states that changes in the climate would alter precipitation patterns in the U.S. and increase nutrient pollution by one-fifth by the end of the century, with the strongest impacts occurring in the Corn Belt and in the Northeast.

Although some argue that the business-as-usual isn’t likely, Anna Michalak, a researcher at the Carnegie Institution for Science and co-author of the study, says it’s not as unrealistic as it might seem.

“If we look at the trajectory we’re currently on, it looks very much like the business-as-usual scenario,” Michalak says. “I would love for that to be unrealistic and for that pathway to be wrong, but it’s not unrealistic to think that unless we start getting much more serious about mitigating and managing climate change, this is the path we are essentially on.”

By increasing efforts to cut greenhouse gas emissions and slow down the progression of climate change, these situations could avoided, however.

CLEANING UP THE MESS?

An increase in precipitation is an expected outcome of climate change, and other scientists have recently reported that a warming atmosphere will hold more water and produce much heavier rains over the course of the century.

“Future climate projections are showing an overall drying of the U.S. Southwest and a wetting in the rest of the country, with some seasonal differences,” says Andreas Prein, a scientist at the National Center for Atmospheric Research.

More rainfall from extreme events is expected in the future climate, Prein added, meaning that extreme precipitation is expected to increase, even in some regions that show a drying trend on average.

Still, preventing the resulting increases in excess nitrogen runoff is a major task. Researchers report that a one-third reduction in overall nitrogen input such as fertilizer use would be necessary, and management in the affected regions alone will not be enough.

The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency currently recommends reducing nitrogen input in the Mississippi Atchafalaya River Basin by 20 percent relative to 1980-1996 levels to mitigate the negative effects of nitrogen that flows into the Gulf of Mexico.

However, with the estimated changes in precipitation, a 62 percent reduction in nitrogen input would be required to achieve a similar objective.

This could be a problem for communities across the country in the future where it’s critical to start thinking about updating their infrastructure to deal with a future uptick in extreme storms.

“In developing water quality management strategies, we need to be accounting for the fact that precipitation is going to change and that water quality is not only a local issue,” Michalak says. “We need to take a step back and realize that what we see in our backyards in terms of water quality is human action locally, regionally, and globally.”

GLOBAL IMPACT

Although the researchers’ model is specific to the U.S., other heavily affected areas were also identified in the study, including India, China, and Southeast Asia. Because these regions are fast developing with continually growing populations, they have higher risk for large increases in nitrogen pollution due to increased precipitation.

Michalak said large population centers around the world are already displaying evidence of hypoxic dead zones and harmful algae blooms.

It’s a global issue, she said, and by using the new analysis of the U.S., researchers are opening a window to look at other parts of the world where high precipitation is expected to increase even more, and where nitrogen application is high.

“Water serves a lot of purposes, and even if you don’t live near the water, it does affect you, the things you eat and the way you live,” Michalak says. “It’s very, very crucial to understand that water sustainability is not just about having enough water, but it’s also about whether that water can be used by people and animals in safe, healthy ways.”

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Story by Casey Smith, (Follow on Twitter)

Landsat 8 image of algal bloom in Lake St. Clair in July (Detroit, Michigan) by Joshua Stevens, Nasa Earth Observatory